Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.004645 0.004894 0.005151 0.005434 0.005739 0.006059 0.006418
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.004204 0.004573 0.004970 0.005429 0.005948 0.006519 0.007198
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003901 0.004334 0.004814 0.005386 0.006055 0.006819 0.007763
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003636 0.004106 0.004636 0.005286 0.006066 0.006982 0.008151
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003429 0.003924 0.004494 0.005206 0.006081 0.007135 0.008520
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003299 0.003822 0.004435 0.005215 0.006195 0.007403 0.009035
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003087 0.003609 0.004228 0.005029 0.006051 0.007334 0.009105
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002997 0.003538 0.004190 0.005046 0.006160 0.007587 0.009606
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002970 0.003543 0.004244 0.005179 0.006420 0.008047 0.010410
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002858 0.003436 0.004150 0.005115 0.006415 0.008148 0.010718
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002773 0.003360 0.004092 0.005094 0.006463 0.008321 0.011134
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002679 0.003266 0.004007 0.005033 0.006452 0.008408 0.011425
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002643 0.003249 0.004022 0.005107 0.006635 0.008781 0.012173
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002577 0.003190 0.003981 0.005103 0.006705 0.008996 0.012695
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002502 0.003117 0.003916 0.005063 0.006722 0.009130 0.013097
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002413 0.003021 0.003818 0.004971 0.006657 0.009137 0.013292
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002336 0.002939 0.003735 0.004898 0.006615 0.009176 0.013538
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002292 0.002900 0.003711 0.004906 0.006694 0.009401 0.014108
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.002188 0.002777 0.003566 0.004735 0.006495 0.009182 0.013905
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.002153 0.002748 0.003550 0.004751 0.006581 0.009418 0.014504
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.002155 0.002769 0.003606 0.004873 0.006836 0.009936 0.015640
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.002098 0.002707 0.003541 0.004814 0.006803 0.009982 0.015921
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.002056 0.002665 0.003504 0.004795 0.006832 0.010130 0.016401